SuperTrump

The 2020 Presidential Election

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Just now, wannabe hippie said:

That is what I was wondering. Is the polling margin of error +- 3%? 

 

and his favorability #s aren't even great 

Tom Steyer    34    25  +9

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23 minutes ago, You and the Horse you Rode said:

He already has the 150k signatures so he will be on stage

That’s good! I do like him tho think senate would be a better for him for now 

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Just now, maphead said:

That’s good! I do like him tho think senate would be a better for him for now 

I agree.  He went too fast too quick.  Trying to grassroots a national campaign like he did for his senate run was too much of a scale up.  I don’t think it’s outof the realm of possibility in a shrunken field, that he could get into the top five as candidates drop out.  I only say that because his donor pool is deep and he will outlast some of the others.  

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59 minutes ago, Snowflakes said:

you outraged? odd that you never say WHAT?? when your cult leader steps on his dick on the reg and hugely by comparison. you are such a dumb hack.

we have a white nationalist as president who intentionally instigates and encourages white supremacists and right wing terrorism. NO ONE CARES about this minor gaffe.

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9 hours ago, Kármán vortex street said:

you outraged? odd that you never say WHAT?? when your cult leader steps on his dick on the reg and hugely by comparison. you are such a dumb hack.

we have a white nationalist as president who intentionally instigates and encourages white supremacists and right wing terrorism. NO ONE CARES about this minor gaffe.

No one cares because trump didnt say it.

 

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Just now, Snowflakes said:

No one cares because trump didnt say it.

 

Trump has made plenty of awful gaffes, over 10,000 lies, and many race-baiting statements that embolden white supremacists. Lots of people care and are pissed off about it, other than his dumb cult supporters like yourself.

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Just now, RutgersWx92 said:

Trump has made plenty of awful gaffes, over 10,000 lies, and many race-baiting statements that embolden white supremacists. Lots of people care and are pissed off about it, other than his dumb cult supporters like yourself.

My point 

 Carry on

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/08/politics/could-texas-go-blue-2020/index.html

From a former disbeliever: Why Texas could go blue in 2020

In the backdrop of these developments is a Texas electorate that seems to be divided much more than it used to be. 

It's a state with a voter base that seems to rapidly be shifting toward the center -- and I believe it could go Democratic in next year's presidential election for the first time since 1976. 

I was once a skeptic on Texas turning blue, but I've changed my tune because Trump is a uniquely unpopular Republican in Texas who seems to be the driver of an important development: Like other Americans, Texans with a college degree are shifting rapidly from red to blue, and Democrats have a lot of room to grow with them in Texas. 

This doesn't mean the state will go Democratic in 2020 (Democrats not named Joe Biden currently are losing to Trump in the Lone Star state in high quality polling), but it is a real possibility.

Trump's net approval rating (approval - disapproval) among registered voters has been slightly negative in Texas throughout his presidency. The latest Quinnipiac University poll put it at -1 points. All other elected Texas Republican officials had at least a +8 point net approval rating. This poll comes on top of the 2018 exit poll giving Trump a +1 net approval rating, and the midterm electorate in Texas is likely more Republican leaning than a 2020 presidential electorate will be. Trump won the state by 9 in 2016. 

If the 2020 election were held today and it were solely a referendum on Trump, Texas would be a toss-up. 

Traditionally, Texas has been a lot more Republican than the nation as a whole. In 2014, for example, Democratic President Barack Obama's net approval rating was 18 points worse in Texas than nationally. In 2018, Trump, a Republican, was just 10 points higher in Texas. In other words, there was an 8-point shift toward the Democrats, on this measure, compared to the nation as a whole in just four years. This followed the 2016 presidential race being the closest in the state since the 1990s. 

Trump's unusually low approval rating in 2018 created the environment in which Republican Sen. Ted Cruz won re-election by less than 3 points. It was the worst Republican performance in a Senate race in the state since 1988. In 2012, Cruz won his first term by 16 points. This 13 point pro-Democratic shift occurred even though Cruz was an incumbent (who usually do better) and the national environment (as measured by the presidential vote in 2012 and House vote in 2018) shifted by less than 5 points toward the Democrats. (As I've pointed out, this shift was driven mostly by opinions toward Trump, not towards the Texas Senate candidates running in 2018.) 

Of course, just because the state became more blue doesn't mean it will keep moving blue into 2020. The reason I think it could shift more is because of why the state has been going blue over the last few years: the aforementioned highly-educated voters.

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Wonder how much more money Kellyanne makes than George per year? He bashes Trump, but he also cashes those Trump checks and has for years. If Kellyanne divorces his ass, he will be in court begging for a payday from her. Dude is a fucking joke. 

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1 hour ago, Bender Rodriguez said:

Graham promises to repeal ObamaCare if Trump and Republicans win in 2020 (link: http://hill.cm/kSlNAR4) hill.cm/kSlNAR4

These fuckers are hellbent on killing people, and 95% of Americans just shrug it off as no big deal.

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4 hours ago, ict1523 said:

These fuckers are hellbent on killing people, and 95% of Americans just shrug it off as no big deal.

95% of Americans are lazy fuckwits that don't care about something until it's directly in their face

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